Rant on, yo...
Well if you’ll let me rant; on March 1st I emailed Dear Dr. Cohen, I never expected a reply.
For those know don’t know Dr. Cohen, is on the Council on Foreign Relations, a close friend with Gorbachev, and since 1998, Cohen has been professor of Russian Studies and History at New York University.
This is what I wrote and he wrote me minus the email addresses.
Dear Dr. Cohen,
I hope you will forgive me; I am not one of your students. I have been
reading your writings lately and wanted to reach out to you. I first
saw your position while on MSNBC and was surprised that someone was
actually making sense about this issue and not attempting to sell the
extremist line against Russia that you hear everywhere else in the
mainstream American press. It was also the first time I saw someone
describe an actual solution to this, a federalized Ukraine, and this
was before thousands had to die in Donbas. It's been a shame I haven't
seen you invited back. Now the only place I see you given a platform
to make your position is on Zakarias show on CNN, and I give them a
lot of credit for that. I find it shameful that it's very difficult to
find anyone of intelligence on this issue being given a platform in
the mainstream media in the US anymore. I don't use the term
mainstream media in the context you hear on Fox News, but in the true
sense of the phrase encompassing all main media outlets in the United
States.
This is a massive failure of policy, and a failure of diplomacy that's
resulted in what I think is possibly the most dangerous situation
happening in the world right now. We''re close to war right now as
astonishing as that is to say, and you never hear that considered. If
the only two narratives you ever hear are one that this is all the
fault of Russia and the US is blameless in all counts, or that this is
just Putin protecting ethnic Russians and everything Putin is doing is
rooted in humanitarian assistance you lose the gray area in the
middle where the truth lies. And all the while we have a humanitarian
catastrophe.
This is a humanitarian crisis of enormous magnitude. Five thousand
dead. 1 million displaced. The government in Kiev isn’t paying any
pensions anymore for anyone in the Donbas. Even if they did there are
women, children, and the elderly trapped with minimal infrastructural
support. The weather is cold, and harsh. Where is the right to protect
civilians come in that the US always preaches about in the Middle
East?
This is sad. This is incredibly dangerous. We're getting locked into a
new cold war that's much more dangerous than the last one since the
focal point of this cold war is right on Russia's border as opposed to
the last one which had its focal point on Berlin. If the central
government in Kiev falls, which isn't an impossibility today; it could
be replaced by even more extremist elements in the governing
coalition. If that happens Russia will move into the eastern provinces
to protect the people left, and deal with the already existing
humanitarian situation. It's not hard to imagine a situation under
those circumstances where NATO could move troops into western Ukraine
through Poland, and we have the Cuban missile crisis as you have aptly
equated this too. A far more dangerous one then we experienced in
1962, and one I don't see a way out of. Washington feels it's
infallible, and Putin sees it as existential for Russia, and his own
personal legacy.
And the damn of this is if we ever get to the point of having a deal,
the deal will look more or less like the same deal proposed over a
year ago before everything started spiraling out of control. If this
ends without an even larger war it will be because Ukraine ended up as
a federated state. If historians have the opportunity to will look
back on this in the future, it will be seen as a massive failure of
diplomacy that caused a massive humanitarian crisis, and the threat of
a ground war in Europe. Sadly we don't seem to have any statesman who
will sit down and negotiate a way out of this.
Dr. Cohen how do you see this ending? If this is a Cuban Missile
Crisis like scenario, who blinks? I want you to know there are young
men like myself who are paying attention to this. There are people
like myself who are looking for the real facts going on. I also wanted
to ask where you get your news about this. I would be delighted to
hear your response to anything I've written to you about.
With my deepest respects,
Tom Harvey
to me
Dear Tom Harvey,
Many thanks for your thoughts. I agree, of course. The best chance to end the UKR crisis
through diplomacy/negotiations is Minsk II, the alternative being war with Russia perhaps.
War factions in several capitals, esp. DC and Kiev, have been trying to undermine this
diplomatic initiative by Merkel and Hollande, but it seemed the Minsk conditions were being
slowly implemented on the ground in E. URK. The killing of Nemtsov will now be used by
the war factions to claim no deal with Putin is permissible. I am currently in Western Europe
headed for Moscow in a few days, and therefore not sure what is being said in the US press
or on the Sunday talk shows, but I am guess the talk asserts Putin's guilt or complicity.
As for me, I am, it seems, effectively blacklisted at MSNBC, where I have not been invited
for many months. Apart from the Zakaria show (very occasionally) the same seems to be
the case at CNN and the other mainstream outlets. I still have my Tuesday evening broadcast
on the John Batchelor Show on ABC radio, occasionally Democracy Now and Thom Hatmann
radio, but that's about it.
Again, thanks for sharing your thoughts, wise ones, I think. All Best, Stephen Cohen